Your Weekly Trade Recap: Fundamentals vs. Price Action

Mr. Pips reviews every pair we analyzed—what played out technically, what moved fundamentally, and the lessons you need for the week ahead.

Author

Pips WMarkets
July 04, 2025

From the Desk of Mr. Pips

The markets gave us movement —but only the patient got paid.

Like Lagos traffic, you could see the route, but that didn’t mean you’d get there on time.
Some setups played out cleanly. Others? They faked, flipped, and taught us lessons.

Let’s recap this week’s high-probability ideas, both technical and fundamental, and what really went down.

TECHNICAL SETUPS RECAP

Pair / Asset

Our Bias

Outcome

Lesson

GBPJPY

Sell from 198.660

✅ Rejection from key level, dropped >150 pips

Liquidity sweep played perfectly; smart money never chases.

GBPUSD

Sell from 1.37419

⚠️ Rejected early, reversed quickly

Fundamentals caught up — wait for confirmations even at ideal levels.

NASDAQ (US100)

Sell from 22534

✅ Swept liquidity, then dumped 200+ points

Liquidity is real. Stop hunting isn’t a myth, it’s a mechanism.

USDCHF

Long from 0.89100

✅ Rally to 0.90200+

Fundamentals + FVG confluence gave sniper entries.

XAUUSD (Gold)

Short from 2350

❌ Didn’t reach level, reversed early

Patience over prediction. No entry = no loss.

USDCAD

Long from 1.36700

✅ Clean bounce and breakout

Oil weakness + USD strength = textbook macro play.

🌍 FUNDAMENTAL PLAYS RECAP

Pair / Asset

Core Driver

Outcome

Mr. Pips' Notes

USDCHF

Fed hawkish vs SNB dovish

✅ USD strength confirmed

This pair was a fundamentals masterclass.

Gold (XAUUSD)

Real yield pressure

⚠️ Mixed reaction

Market still undecided on rate direction; CPI & NFP will clear the fog.

Oil (WTI)

High inventory + demand drop

✅ Sharp drop midweek

Crude respected macro narrative.

SPX500

Fed uncertainty + overbought tech

✅ Mild pullback

Not a collapse — yet. But caution flags are waving.

CADJPY

Oil softness + risk-off sentiment

⚠️ Choppy

Needed more directional conviction. Patience paid.

NZDUSD

China weakness + Fed firmness

✅ Clean drop

Weak Kiwi confirmed macro pressure.

EURNZD

EU stable, NZ soft

✅ Trend continuation up

Trend-following traders ate well here.

Final Takeaways

  • Patience pays more than prediction.
    We waited for price to come to us, and it did.

  • Liquidity matters.
    Several setups faked out before reversing cleanly. You either anticipated it… or became part of it.

  • The fundamentals don’t lie, but timing is key.
    USD strength has been building, and this week we saw the first real wave of impact.

Coming Next:

  • NFP & Powell’s speeches will set the tone next week.

  • Expect volatility across all USD and commodity pairs.

  • We'll be preparing entries for new ranges, no revenge trading here.

You did your part by showing up.
Now do your part by reviewing your performance.

What setups worked for you? What didn’t?
The market always pays those who take notes.

Till next drop...

— Mr. Pips
Lead Analyst, WMarkets

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Past performance is not indicative of future results. WMarkets does not guarantee any profits or protection from losses. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice if necessary